Tuesday, 13 May 2014

1994 Draft Review

This is not being done to offend anyone, just my view point on the draft and how it proceeded. So please do not think I hate you even if I disliked your pick.

1.       New York Mets Select 1B Paul Konerko
I think this is the best pick that the Mets could have made with this pick. He may not end up being the best player in the draft, but he was by far the best first base, and with the team knocking on the doors with the playoffs with a relatively average aged team, I think getting a young 1B who could be used in a few years will help them more than anyone else. Not to mention, his stats in high school were amazing in power, although just around average in contact, but I really think the Mets will be happy.
Rating: A+

2.       San Diego Padres Select OF Alfonso Soriano
In my opinion, I thought the Padres may have missed the boat with this pick, but time could change that story. In terms of OF I thought the best OF was Carlos Lee, and already he looks like he will be better than Soriano. Not to mention I still think a middle infielder was a better choice because San Diego already has what looks to be a decent OF in the future. Statistically he did show a lot of power in high school, but he did not hit for average very well.
Rating: D+

3.       Florida Marlins Select SS Edgar Renteria
The Marlins did pick who I think is the best SS in the draft, but they have so many middle infielders, did they really need another one? I really think they should have gone with Lee, or the next pick in Vazquez, but at least they got a very solid player with their pick who maybe lets them trade one of their other infielders for a position they need. This guy can hit the ball for average, as his high school numbers say, but he does not have a ton of power, and at least the Marlins should be happy if he could hit like he did in high school.
Rating: C

4.       Colorado Rockies Select SP Javier Vazquez
The Rockies selected the top pitcher in the draft, and it may not be a bad thing for them. Although it should be interesting if he can pitch well in Coors. Hitting may have been safer at this pick, but to get the top pitcher, and maybe build more of a rotation in future drafts, Rage did quite well. This man pitched so well in high school that no one really came close to him, so I think the Rockies will be extremely happy with him if he can pitch similar to those numbers.
Rating: A+

5.       Oakland Athletics Select SS Michael Young
Although Oakland already has a few good middle infielders on their team, I think this was a good pick for them, although Carlos Lee would probably have been the best pick for them here. It should be interesting whether Young or Tejada plays SS and the other at 3B, or what will happen. Either way, Young is quite solid except for his eye. In high school, he did hit well for average, but not a ton of power, and so hopefully that is not exactly what Oakland was looking for with this pick.
Rating: B

6.       Milwaukee Brewers Select SP Sidney Ponson
I think the Brewers saw that they needed a pitcher and grabbed the next best one, but for this I think it was a mistake for Milwaukee. As much as Ponson has a lot of room, his vitals are okay, but his statistics in high school were not that great, and he could be a very solid pitcher, but he will likely never be an all-star type player. I really think they should have went with Lee in the OF, because their future OF does not look very strong in power, and the pitching in the future may be better when they get a similar pick in their position.
Rating: C-

7.       Cincinnati Reds Select OF Carlos Lee
Well Cincinnati got really lucky here that no one took Carlos Lee, and because of this they may have gotten one of the best value picks in the draft. I predicted them to get an OF, which they did get, but they got one that was better than my prediction, and he has already jumped, and statistically dominated high school in both average and home runs, which to me makes it a very excellent pick.
Rating: A+

8.       Minnesota Twins Select OF Randy Winn
The Twins were autoed Winn, and although he may not be the best pick at this position, when they already have a lot of OF’s in their farm, he is much better than some of the later auto’s. He had good stats in high school, but he really only projects to be high contact, with some power, and some speed, but nothing else outstanding except for his defense. Overall this was a better pick than I may have predicted the Twins getting.
Rating: B

9.       Atlanta Select 1B Lance Berkman
I did predict Berkman to get selected here, but for a different team. Overall I think Atlanta did great here getting a much needed 1B at this position. Berkman could end up being a bust, but if he works out well for Altanta, this will be a great pick, and some teams who picked ahead may end up being sad about passing him. In high school he has absolutely dominating, although I do not think his contact will end up being that great in the majors.
Rating: A-

10.   Pittsburgh Select CA Toby Hall
Pittsburgh was autoed Hall at this pick, but much like Minnesota, could have done much worse than Hall. Overall they did not need a catcher at this pick, but he may end up being able to trade Hall to a team that needs a catcher. Looking back at the later selections, picking up Burrell, or Glaus, would have been much better choices, as they do not really have much in terms of power or OF in their farm. Hall had good contact, but he seems to lack power as his high school numbers show, if his defense gets a bit better than he could be solid, but he probably will not have much impact in the long run.
Rating: C

11.   Cleveland Indians Select CA Michael Barrett
Cleveland was autoed Barrett at this pick, and they actually needed a catcher. Realistically I think this was the best pick that the Indians could get with their pick. Now by no means is Barrett the best player available, but the pitching left was not so strong, and really they did not need another OF or 3B on their team. Defensively Barrett is not strong, but if he can catch averagely, and his contact and power specifically increase, we will see a great catcher. His high school numbers were not that great, but his eye looks fairly good in high school. His power and eye are also above his overall which is always a good thing as well.
Rating: A

12.   Boston Red Sox Select OF Craig Wilson
The Red Sox surprised me a bit with this pick, and although Wilson has monstrous power, his low contact and eye scare me a bit. At the same position was Burrell who was available, who I think may be the safest pick of the outfielders that were left. I do not think it was a bad pick, just and was probably better than picking a catcher at this position, which was one of their needs I thought. In high school his contact numbers were not bad, and he had great power, so it will be interesting to see if his contact can get closer to his overall.
Rating: C

13.   Los Angeles Dodgers Select SP Ryan Drese
Sadly for the Dodgers, they were the first team unlucky in terms of auto picks. I think Drese is a terrible pitching prospect, and looks like his movement his going to be far higher than his control. Which normally is bad, but with some of the way pitchers have been pitching with vitals like that, it may not be so bad in 2015. Still I think they really wish that they could have gotten one of the big slugging hitters like Glaus or Burrell. Statistically, Drese was also a mess in pitching, and that does scare me as well.
Rating: D

14.   Milwaukee Brewers Select SP Randy Wolf
Although I find stocking up in pitching in this draft was a terrible idea, and Milwaukee was one of two teams to do so, this is not a terrible pick. I do think there are many things to dislike about Wolf, there are also some things to like about him. Mainly he looks to have some good power and his control is currently above his overall, so his vitals should look okay, but statistically in the high school he only really had one year of real good pitching, so I feel like he may be good, but not amazing by any means.
Rating: B

15.   Toronto Blue Jays Select SP Jason Roach
Toronto is the other team that stocked up on pitching, and I feel like they continually missed the boat. I really hate how Roach looks. His control is lower than his overall and already well below his movement, and he has little to no power. I doubt he has much of a career, and really statistically he was atrocious in high school.
Rating: F

16.   Toronto Blue Jays Select SP Jay Spurgeon
Once again another pitcher, except I do like Spurgeon more than Roach. Vitals wise both his control and movement are above his overall which is good, but still control is less than movement which is never a good thing. He is another pitcher who does not look like he will have much power in terms of pitching. In terms of stats, his career in high school were not bad, although his senior year was bad, but one season is not bad, so he may actually end up being decent. Still not the best of the Toronto selections, and hitting would have been much better in both these spots.
Rating: C

17.   Baltimore Orioles Select CA A.J. Pierzynski
I really love the pick here by the Orioles. Pierzynski looks to be the most promising catcher in terms of defense and contact, but whether his power increases a lot will be interesting. I predicted them in taking an OF, but they did not have a catcher either, and to grab him that is great. His contact is above his overall, and if his power which is just a bit under can also increase that will be great for Baltimore. The one issue is his eye as well, and it looks fairly low. Statistically he had a couple good years, but nothing very consistent, and not much power.
Rating: B+

18.   Detroit Tigers Select 2B Adam Kennedy
I think for the Tigers, grabbing Kennedy was the best thing they could do. They could have maybe grabbed an OF or a 3B as the next pick did, but, with them having an aging Whitaker, they need a middle infielder for the long term and they really had no one. His contact is right on with his overall, and his defense is average. If his eye can improve some and his defense can get better, than I think Detroit will be very happy drafting their future 2B with the 18th pick. In high school his numbers are pretty good contact wise, but he will not be a big home run threat in the majors.
Rating: A

19.   Houston Astros Select 3B Troy Glaus
Even though I predicted Houston to get pitching there was not a lot of pitching, and so getting Glaus here was a great pick up. With Caminiti and Nevin, I did not think Houston needed a 3B right away, but with a team that is fairly strong, and with Caminiti potentially aging soon, then this pick up may keep them more in contention longer. Their pitching has also performed very well. His eye and power are phenomenal for his overall, but his contact is atrocious. If the contact ends up being close to the 80s and his power even higher, this will be a great draft for Mhall. Statistically he was a monster in high school.
Rating: A

20.   Texas Rangers Select SP Carl Pavano
Texas made an amazing selection here, and although I have been hating on most pitching Pavano looks like he could be the second best pitcher after Vasquez. It was a bit of a surprise since I did not think GD needed more pitching, but pitching never hurts. With his control well above his overall and also above his movement, I think he will be very good once he has developed. Statistically in high school he was hit hard which is a bit of a downer, but even then his dice was good.
Rating: B+

21.   St. Louis Cardinals Select OF Pat Burrell
Dave did a little dance after Burrell dropped to him. This was the type of player St. Louis wanted. Even right now the OF in St. Louis did not look very strong, and their future does not look much better in terms of future OF. With that being said, his power and eye are well above his overall, but his contact is slightly under his overall, and defensively he could be a disaster. However, St. Louis does not have to worry about him now as they traded him for an upgrade, but I think the Twins will be happy with whom they got, although they did not need another OF.
Rating: A

22.   Colorado Rockies Select SP Dave Coggin
Another pitcher, another pick I dislike. He may potentially be the pitcher I like the least. His control is really low compared to his movement and is below his overall. He also does not seem to have as much room to move from overall to peak, so I do not think he will have a long life as a major league pitcher. His stats in high school were good, but time will tell whether he will actually end up being good or not.
Rating: F

23.   Chicago White Sox Select OF Dustan Mohr
The White Sox were autoed Mohr, and at the time I liked the pick, but since he had his birthday, he needs to really get a jump before he looks like a potential bust. Power in their outfield will help them tremendously in the future, but his defense is below average, and his contact is just barely lower than his overall. The rest of his abilities are all well above his overall which is a very good thing. However, one thing that is scary is that in his high school numbers, he was really bad offensively, so for the White Sox, they will hope he can swing it better in the minors and majors.
Rating: B

24.   Florida Marlins Select SP Kyle Peterson
At this selection the Marlins seem to have drafted a dud. He needs a jump in order to be anything, and his control is already below his overall, so he may have some low control and average movement. Statistically he was not terrible in high school as his dice shows he was better than his era lets on, but I really doubt he will make a big impact for the Marlins.
Rating: D-

25.   Cincinnati Reds Select 2B Junior Spivey
Once again the Reds make a good pick, and although Boone has played well, his vitals are not that great so it will be interesting whether he continues to perform like that. Other than that the Reds did not have much middle infielder help for their future, and they got some here with Spivey. His contact matches his overall, and his defence is a little below average, but if that and his eye can even just become average to slightly above average, and his contact stay with his overall, he should be a very decent infielder. In high school he did bat for average, and seemed to have some power still.
Rating: B

26.   Toronto Blue Jays Select SP Tomo Ohka
This time the Jays took an actual solid pitcher with their pick. To be honest I was a bit surprised to not see Ohka taken earlier, but I think Mike hit the mark right on with this pick. All his vitals are above his overall, and control is currently above the movement which are good signs. As well, he pitched average in high school, and so given some time, Ohka could be a good 2-3 pitcher.
Rating: A

27.   Philadelphia Phillies Select SP Kevin Olsen
Like many of the pitchers in this draft, I am not too big on Olsen. With his birthday coming up soon, he may take a big hit as well. His vitals are above his overall, but the movement looks like it will be the highest one again, which is always iffy. He did perform well in high school, so that could mean something good for Erick, but time will tell how this pick goes.
Rating: D

28.   Toronto Blue Jays Select SP Chris Fussell
With the last pick, Mike went back to a swing and a miss. His vitals are above the overall, but like the other pitchers in this draft, the movement looks to be the highest which is not such a good thing. Not to mention, he had terrible numbers in high school, except for his last year, and one year can just be a blip. If I am wrong on him I will be wrong on many of the other pitchers which for the Jays would be a good thing.

Rating: D

Sunday, 4 May 2014

1994 Mock Draft

1.       New York Mets Select 1B Paul Konerko
I think the Mets go with a 1B or OF with the first overall pick, because in all honesty they do not really need a middle infielder. Because of this I do not see much reason to pick a shortstop just because they may have more value. If they take an OF I would not be surprised to see it being Carlos Lee, but Konerko is likely more of the type of player they would want and may be able to play LF.

2.       San Diego Padres Select SS Edgar Renteria 
      I think that Padres take Edgar Renteria, because as much as they may have it better if they took someone like OF Carlos Lee to add power to their future, they may be able to use some of their current IF spects to get a piece they need, and Renteria should be quite a good SS in the league.

3.       Florida Marlins Select OF Carlos Lee 
       I think that the Marlins take Carlos Lee because they have a future infield set, and need some power hitting. I think Lee will be quite a stud, and since his hitting is quite good, should be a good fit for a young Marlins team.

4.       Colorado Rockies Select SS Michael Young
 I think Colorado takes Young here, because he could potentially be moved to 3B, and although his eye is a little low, being that the park is in Colorado, his power in the park will be a little higher because of the altitude, which makes him probably a better fit here over some of the pitching that Colorado needs.

5.       Oakland Athletics Select SP Javier Vazquez
I think Javier Vazquez could be the best pitcher in the draft, but there are a few other pitchers that are close. I just see Oakland picking up pitching, because some of their pitching is older right now, and they have some decent young hitting and some future hitters already, that picking the best pitcher in the draft might be their best option.

6.       Milwaukee Brewers Select OF Alfonso Soriano
I am not a big fan of Soriano’s low contact and eye, but he could surprise and be a good pickup. There are really no other players that look super appealing, so I feel Milwaukee may pick him up and then try to trade him with his high peak for a player he likes a little more. That being said I would not write off Soriano, as his power looks really good.

7.       Cincinnati Reds Select OF Randy Winn
I think Bubba would take Randy Winn, even though he does have a lot of young OF already. I just think he is the safest pick, and for a team looking to compete for many years with a high pick a safe pick is sometimes the best pick. He could be a pretty decent leadoff, but not amazing, but there are a few pitchers who might be more risk, and definitely more reward if they become good.

8.       Minnesota Twins Select SP Randy Wolf
In terms of hitting, I do not think the Twins need a ton, but one can never have enough pitching. He is young and has a lot of upside, so he could be quite a good player if things go his way. He might be the second best starter, but even then there is a big difference between him and Vasquez.

9.       Toronto Blue Jays Select 1B Lance Berkman
Knowing how Mike is and how he almost always drafts high risk high reward players, I feel like Berkman fits what Mike wants. There is not a ton of upside, but if he jumps during the season, he could be really good, and one of the best hitters in the draft. If he does not jump then he could be a bust. Time will tell on whether he would be a good fit or not for Toronto.

10.   Pittsburgh Pirates Select SP Tomo Ohka
The Pirates have almost no pitching prospects, and so I really think that with the 10th pick they take one. Tomo Ohka has similar vitals to Ponson, just lower overall, and I feel like the Pirates GM may take a chance on him over Ponson.

11.   Cleveland Indians Select CA Michael Barrett
Cleveland has no catchers in their farm team that really have a shot at being a starting catcher, and with a couple good catchers available, I do not see how Cleveland could pass on one. I think Barrett has a good equal amount of contact, power and eye, and that might be what Cleveland wants at pick 11.

12.   Boston Red Sox Select CA Toby Hall
Even though Boston has a catcher already in Varitek who could be good, I see nothing wrong with taking the highest peak player at catcher over pitcher at pick 12. Boston may do something else, but in drafts sometimes you pick players as future trade pieces over players you want.

13.   Los Angeles Dodgers Select 3B Troy Glaus
I would not be surprised to see Glaus go here, because in terms of 3B the Dodgers have a player who is a decent 3B with some contact, but no real big power hitter, and in the lineup the Dodgers have, some future power might be what they are looking for.

14.   Seattle Mariners Select CA A.J. Pierzynski
The Seattle Mariners do not have a real good catcher in their system. They do have Ibanez, but I do not think he will be staying as a catcher in their system. No reason to pass on Pierzynski with the 14th pick in the draft.

15.   Atlanta Braves Select SP Sidney Ponson
At pick 15 I do not think that the Braves would pass on Ponson when he is the highest peak player on the board, and has a chance at being a decent pitcher. He may not be ace material, but with the rotation that the Braves have already, they do not need another ace.

16.   Toronto Blue Jays Select RP Matt Thornton
I think Mike takes Thornton, because he looks to be a very good RP, and if Mike decides to try to make him a SP, I think Thornton has the type of vitals that could make him into a decent future SP as well.

17.   Baltimore Orioles Select OF Dustan Mohr
I think Baltimore might go with a power hitting outfielder in Dustan Mohr, because although Kennedy is possibly the safest hitting spec left at this point, Baltimore does not have much of a future outfield core. Although Mohr does not have the greatest splits either, most of his vitals are above his overall which is usually a good thing when drafting.

18.   Detroit Tigers Select 2B Adam Kennedy
In all honesty if Adam Kennedy dropped to Detroit at pick 18, I think Cadmus would be extremely happy. Whitaker is past his prime, and Detroit does not have much in terms of future at 2B, so I feel like Kennedy is the type of player Cadmus is hoping to get with his 18th pick in the draft.

19.   Houston Astros Select SP Jeff Weaver
I think with the prospects that Houston has at pitching, they are going to need a pitching prospect, and I find with the draft overall weak in pitching, that Weaver might be the type of player that they want at 19. He may not end up lasting to 19th, but I feel that if Houston can get pitching at 19 they will be quite happy to get him.

20.   Texas Rangers Select 2B Junior Spivey
I think if GD is able to get a hitting prospect at this pick he will try to get a 2B that he can use soon. Spivey looks decent although not as much upside as some others, but he looks like he could be ready sooner, and although GD has a 2B who is hitting well now, he may want to transition to have a younger one when he can.

21.   St. Louis Cardinals Select SP Carl Pavano
I think Dave would take a pitcher with his pick here, versus some of the hitting, as it does seem easier to get good hitters versus pitchers. His peak is low but his vitals are fairly good for his overall. I think that Dave would be quite happy if he could get Pavano with this pick.

22.   New York Yankees Select SP Chris Fussell
I think the New York Yankees take a pitcher with their 22nd pick, and although I am not a huge fan of Fussell, of the high peak players left, he looks to be the one with the most promise of pitchers. That being said, I do not think he will be absolutely great, but he could be a good gamble with a late 1st round pick.

23.   Chicago White Sox Select SP Lance Davis
I feel like the White Sox may take a pitcher at pick 23, and if that is the case they will end up taking Lance Davis. He does not look amazing at all, but he could be solid if he jumps for them, and of the pitchers that are left none really stand out as top of the line starters, so like any of the pitchers that are left, I think they just take one that they think will have the best vitals.

24.   Montreal Expos Select SP Jay Spurgeon
Even though Montreal has a lot of young pitching, I feel that Mad Trapper will end up taking one of the higher peak players left, versus taking a chance on someone lower. I think Spurgeon might be better than Drese just because of the overall difference and vitals, but neither look particularly enticing. This could be a pitcher that maybe the Expos use as a trade piece to improve their team.

25.   Cincinnati Reds Select 1B Travis Lee
With the 25th pick, I feel like that Bubba would take a 1B over another OF, when they have a couple 1B that are fringe spects and could be good, but may not develop the way they want to. So at this point it might be a good idea for them to get the 1B spec to replace a Hal Morris in the future.

26.   Toronto Blue Jays Select OF Juan Encarnacion
It may not be exactly what Mike is looking for in an OF, but Encarnacion has contact and power both above his overall, and he is decent at fielding too. The issue is he is a RF like Shawn Green, but I assume that he would be the one moving if he does get drafted by Toronto.

27.   Philadelphia Phillies Select OF Pat Burrell
I think if Erick was to get Burrell at this pick he would be ecstatic. Burrell looks like he will have great power and eye, but lower contact and some poor outfield skills may be the reason that he would not be picked until this spot.

28.   Toronto Blue Jays Select SP Ryan Drese

Personally I do not like him much at all, but with the 28th pick, his high peak might be something that Mike takes a chance on here, to see if he can actually become 2-4 pitcher. Some team may end up taking him ahead, and something better might come Mike’s way, either way, Mike will have to wait and see what is available at this pick.