Sunday, 27 April 2014

NL Central Analysis

Chicago Cubs
Well I picked the Cubs to finish fourth, but they could end up doing better. I do not find their rotation to be particularly strong, really I find Castillo to be their best, but after him the rotation slides worse and worse. I am a bit surprised to not see Trachsel in there, but this may change. As for their bullpen, it is for the most part weak, although Roberto Rivera could be quite good in the pen. Overall the pitching has a lot of mediocrity, and with the rest of the division, moves will need to be made. Their hitting is decent as well, and they have a great number four hitter in Sosa, and if the people in front of him can get on base than they could really do well offensively. 3B and CF are two positions in the batting that might need an improvement, but really the biggest needs are in the rotation and bullpen.

Cincinnati Reds
Well I picked Bubba’s Reds to finish second, but they could easily win the division. I also expect this team to compete strongly for the wildcard spot, if they do not end up winning the division. Lieber looks to be a good ace, but maybe not yet, he may be better in the future, and I am a bit surprised to see Pugh over Roselli in the rotation as well. The addition with VanRyn also gives Cincinnati a lot of SPs, and maybe they could use some of their extra ones to upgrade other pieces. Their pen looks decent as well, but they have a few too many starters in there which may not work during the season. I do not think Brantley will be the closer, as I would be surprised not to see Spradlin there come opening day. As for hitting, Larkin leading off gives them speed contact and power at the top, although it should be interesting what happens in the middle of the lineup as they do not have a lot of pop. I see this team getting on base a lot, but will they be able to score runs consistently is an issue. I think a little more power in their lineup might help them overtake Houston, but it is not going to be easy. Catcher is a bit of a concern.

Houston Astros
Well this is the team that I think has a really good chance of going to the World Series, even though I predicted San Francisco to beat them. Their rotation is fairly good and they have an ace in Drabek, and the rest of their rotation for the most part would be solid number 2’s or 3’s on most teams. Their bullpen on the other hand is a bit weak in my opinion, and the place that they would need to improve the most on. There is not too many there that I would feel comfortable with a one run lead in the 9th inning, and that will likely be something Mhall looks into. Their hitting looks very good though, especially if Finley is their leadoff. Their infield overall is fairly strong with power at 3B and 1B, and some contact at 2B, but the SS may be their weakest part of their hitting. Their outfield is okay, but maybe an improvement at RF might help them a bit more, and possibly more power  at DH, but overall Houston has a strong team.

Pittsburgh Pirates
I picked them to finish fifth in the division not because of the team they have, but the fact that their owner has made it clear they are rebuilding. Their team is overall not terrible, and could potentially finish anywhere from 3-5 unless improvements were made. If Neagle is their ace then they have a pretty good one, and then their 2-3 are very solid. The 4-5 needs some work if they were competing, but if they are just trying to add young pieces than they are solid there. Their bullpen overall is a little weaker, and once again if competing need some improvement, but the pieces they have there could get them some solid future players. There is definitely no one man in the pen that stands as a closer over the others. Their hitting is okay, but it is a lot of similar players who either have contact, or contact and speed, but no power in their lineup. For teams who need a leadoff style player, this might be a team that has what you need, but they need to get some power in their future lineup in order to do anything to compete.

St. Louis Cardinals

I picked St. Louis to finish third, but depending on what moves they make they could end up being higher or lower. They have a great 1-2 in the rotation and then the rest of their rotation is very solid, nothing majorly noteworthy, but not terrible. Their bullpen is something that does need some work done on it if they want to compete for first place. There are some solid players, but no one that really sticks out. As for their hitting, they have a good leadoff in Lankford, or if they choose Smith instead. This is another team that has multiple contact hitters, but no real power hitter, and that is where their flaw may end up being. If they can add a power hitter maybe in the outfield, then I could see them really doing well. But they also do have some older pieces that may be better suited moved elsewhere to help regenerate some of the youth on their team that they have. Either way I really think some power and bullpen help is needed to overtake the NL Central. 

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